In a few weeks, on
February the 10th, Israel will elect its new leaders during legislative
elections. The three main contenders are Tzipi Livni from the Kadima
party (Ariel Sharon’s party), Ehud Barak from the Labour party and
Benyamin Netanyahu from the Likud party.

Before the Gaza “war”,
it was a two-horse race: Livni against Netanyahu, with Netanyahu
leading by a good margin in all the polls. The race became a
three-horse one thanks to the Gaza “war” launched by Livni and Barak.
Barak saw his ratings surge and is now back in the race. Even if he
does not get elected, his party will get quite a few more seats than it
had planned a few months ago.

But the frontrunner has always been
Benyamin Netanyahu and he remains, in the eyes of the majority of
Israel’s journalists (Gideon Levy from Haaretz) or activists (Jeff
Halper from ICAHD), the more than probable future PM.

The world
hopes that this election will be as “clean and democratic” (Jimmy
Carter and most international observers said so) as the last
Palestinian election which took place in 2006 and saw Hamas win by a
large majority.

We know what happened next. To make a long story
short, Israel and most of the international community refused to
recognize Hamas as a legitimate party and then refused to recognize the
newly-formed Palestinian unity government (formed in March 2007).

Abbas,
whose goal has always been to be recognized by the US and Israel,
kicked Hamas out of the government and formed a new one with Salam
Fayyad, a politician and economist made in the US, as PM. A violent
pre-emptive war was launched by Hamas against Fatah and
Israel/US-backed militias (led by Mohammed Dahlan) and Hamas “took
over” the Gaza Strip.

Even if they reacted with surprise and
strongly condemned this move, the US and Israel had reached one of
their long-term objectives in Palestine. “Divide and Rule” (a strategy
used with great success by the US in the course of its history) was
back on again with the West Bank becoming the respectable (read:
cooperative) Palestinian Authority territory and Gaza turning into the
Islamic and evil Hamastan.

An internationally-supported Israeli
blockade of the Gaza Strip followed and once more, to cut a long story
short, the Gaza “war” was launched in December 2008 by Israel. We are
here today, more than 1,300 Palestinians dead and 5,000 injured later.

But
why did all this happen? What was the official reason given by the
Israel and the International community for not recognizing Hamas?

The
reason they gave was that Hamas refused to recognize Israel and had a
Charter calling for the destruction of the Jewish state.

Everyone
(politicians and corporate media leaders) accepted this without asking
a few important questions. Which Israel should Hamas recognize? Israel
has not yet stated what its international borders are. Should Hamas
recognize the Israel of 1948? The Israel of 1967? The Israel of 2009
with its apartheid wall, settlements (settlements building raised by 60
percent in 2008, the year of the Annapolis “Peace Process”, according
to a Peace Now report), second class Arab citizens and with East
Jerusalem annexed?

Any astute observer could also have objected
by reminding people that Hamas (through Haniyeh and Meshal) had said
many times over that it was willing to accept Israel as a political
entity on the 1967 borders. You do not have to look hard for this, it
was stated in the Guardian, Washington Post, amongst others, meaning
that Hamas was now in line with most of the international community,
accepting a two-state solution.

Another issue came back again and
again. The problem is Hamas’s Charter, we would hear. Whatever Meshal
or Haniyeh were ready to accept, the Charter came back to haunt them
every time.

But what about the Charter of the Likud Party. With
Netanyahu and his right-wing party ready to take over, it is only fair
to find out a bit more about them.

In the “Peace and Security” chapter of the Likud Party platform, a recent document (1999) it says initially that:

“Peace
is a primary objective of the State of Israel. The Likud will
strengthen the existing peace agreements with the Arab states and
strive to achieve peace agreements with all of Israel’s neighbors with
the aim of reaching a comprehensive solution to the Arab-Israeli
conflict.”

But then it says about settlements:

“The Jewish
communities in Judea, Samaria and Gaza are the realization of Zionist
values. Settlement of the land is a clear expression of the
unassailable right of the Jewish people to the Land of Israel and
constitutes an important asset in the defense of the vital interests of
the State of Israel. The Likud will continue to strengthen and develop
these communities and will prevent their uprooting.”

Therefore annihilating the slightest chance of a two-state solution.

On Palestinian self-rule it says:

“The
Government of Israel flatly rejects the establishment of a Palestinian
Arab state west of the Jordan river. The Palestinians can run their
lives freely in the framework of self-rule, but not as an independent
and sovereign state. Thus, for example, in matters of foreign affairs,
security, immigration and ecology, their activity shall be limited in
accordance with imperatives of Israel’s existence, security and
national needs.”

Therefore annihilating any chance of seeing a Palestinian sovereign state.

On Jerusalem:

“Jerusalem
is the eternal, united capital of the State of Israel and only of
Israel. The government will flatly reject Palestinian proposals to
divide Jerusalem, including the plan to divide the city presented to
the Knesset by the Arab factions and supported by many members of Labor
and Meretz.”

Therefore annihilating any chance for future peace
negotiations because east Jerusalem as capital of a future Palestinian
state is non-negotiable for any Palestinian.

We have therefore
established that the Likud party charter does not recognize Palestine
and will not accept a sovereign Palestinian state. The soon-to-come
non-recognition of Likud by the international community and an
implemented blockade on Israel should therefore not come as a surprise
for Israelis.

– Frank Barat is a peace activist living in
London. His articles have appeared on Counterpunch, Zmag, the Palestine
Chronicle and other websites and publications. He recently directed
“life under occupation” a 25 mins documentary about life in Nablus,
occupied Palestine. His book of interviews between Noam Chomsky and
Ilan Pappe is out now (in French). An English version should soon be
available. He contributed this article to PalestineChronicle.com.